LATEST: New Covid cases have been gradually dropping nationwide, although experts caution that new infections are still at a high rate and further decline will be slow.
Further drop in the number of new Covid cases will be stubbornly slow, experts warn. Yet, there are glimmers of light.
Truelove is cautiously optimistic about the coming months. “Barring any rapid new change to the virus, that's kind of the direction we're going to continue to go — downward,” he said.Ali Mokdad, chief strategy officer at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington in Seattle, is also hopeful that — although there may be increases in cases in areas of low vaccination — cases nationally should continue to decline in the near future.
“The delta variant has been really challenging to predict,” Truelove said. “Initially we didn't think [cases] were going to go as high as they did.” “I would imagine that it's going to be next week that we're probably going to see the peak of deaths nationally,” he said. “There may be some wiggle room there, but generally I'd say two to four weeks after the peak of cases, you can expect to see the peaks of deaths.”
The Covid forecasters are very careful about saying whether the end of the pandemic in the U.S. is near. The ferocious spread of the delta variant in the country over the summer caught many by surprise.
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