This week’s ThinkHQ poll seems merely to be Alberta politics returning to its natural state.
On the evening the UCP won the last provincial election in 2019, sweeping the one-term NDP government out of office, I wrote “the biggest takeaway from Tuesday’s results: Alberta is a conservative province and remains so.”Article content“Progressive” analysts, journalists and politicos have dreamt for nearly 30 years of a day when the millions who have moved into Alberta over the past four decades would overwhelm the inherent conservatism of native Albertans.
That, in turn, has created an enormous voting block in Edmonton in favour of more spending on public health, public education and bigger government, plus higher public-sector wages and more civil servants.Article content But even starting with Janet Brown’s poll before Christmas, there were signs of a UCP turnaround for anyone who cared to look. And since early January when the Trudeau government started promising a shutdown of Alberta’s energy sector in their cruelly misnamed Just Transition, UCP support has been gathering steam.
The NDP will likely take all 20 Edmonton seats in the coming campaign. The UCP will like take all or most of the 41 outside Edmonton and Calgary. That leaves the UCP needing just three of Calgary’s 26 to capture a majority.
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