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With two straight weeks of advances, gold has given traders and investors some optimism within a more erratic economic scene. Gold has held its footing in spite of a strong U.S. dollar and anticipations of tighter monetary policy after the Friday publication of economic statistics.
Should the CPI statistics show 3% or over, the market may go into frenzy. Such a high inflation figure would probably cause markets to believe that the Fed has no justification to further modify its monetary policy, therefore shutting the door to any additional rate reduction. Higher inflation would also imply that the Fed could be compelled to remain hawkish, thereby maintaining rates higher for longer, which would be negative for gold.
The future of gold prices is still unknown but bright as the market absorbs these elements; particularly, should Trump's return to power provide more favourable policies for the yellow metal, then Gold will probably be a prominent asset to keep an eye on in the next months with a delicate mix of inflation statistics, Fed policies, and political changes.I am a former Hedge Fund Trader with over 15 years of experience in investment banking.
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