Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD keeps the red below $2,000 amid modest US Dollar strength

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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD keeps the red below $2,000 amid modest US Dollar strength
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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD keeps the red below $2,000 amid modest US Dollar strength – by hareshmenghani Gold Commodities Fed Recession XAUUSD

to catch fresh bids on Frida, which, in turn, is seen driving flows away from the US Dollar-denominated Gold price. In fact, the current market pricing indicates over an 80% chance of a 25 bps lift-off at the next Federal Open Market Committee in May and a small possibility of another rate hike in June. The bets were lifted by the overnight hawkish comments by Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, saying that the central bank still has more rate increases ahead of it.

The data comes amid worried about economic headwinds stemming from rising borrowing costs and tempers investors' appetite for riskier assets, which is evident from a softer tone around the equity markets and might lend support to the safe-haven Gold price. The global flight to safety, meanwhile, leads to a further decline in the US Treasury bond yields and keeps a lid on any meaningful upside for the USD.

On the flip side, the $2,010 area now seems to have emerged as an immediate strong barrier. A sustained strength beyond might trigger a fresh bout of a short-covering and lift beyond the $2,020 intermediate hurdle, towards the $2,040 horizontal resistance en route to the YTD peak, around the $2,047-$2,049 region.

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