Russia has lost. But Ukraine has yet to win
. Russia is still able to pummel Ukraine’s cities and infrastructure with terror attacks, and to kill its civilians at will.But the very nature of that attack underscores Russia’s fundamental strategic weakness. The scope of its assault is local, a stunning contrast to the multipronged attacks attempted a year ago. And as U.K. military intelligence notes, Russia’s casualty rates, already high, have soared since last September, when a partial mobilization began.
Some have argued that Ukraine should not push too far, lest it push Mr. Putin into a corner. He must be given an off-ramp, a path to peace that somehow preserves his prestige. The future of Crimea is less clear, in part because of the military difficulties involved in invading the peninsula, and in part because of its population’s pro-Russian sympathies.
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