From Meng Wanzhou to Donald Trump, what are the odds in 2020? GlobeDebate
This translation has been automatically generated and has not been verified for accuracy.U.S. President Donald Trump delivers remarks at the Turning Point USA Student Action Summit at the Palm Beach County Convention Center in West Palm Beach, Florida, U.S. December 21, 2019. We predict there is a 55 per cent chance that Mr. Trump will be re-elected.A year ago at this time, we correctly predicted the Trudeau Liberals would be re-elected, and that the new government was likely to be a minority.
We were right, and playing it safe, when we said Alberta’s NDP government had a low probability of re-election; we threw up an air ball when we gave the Toronto Raptors only a 25-per-cent chance of winning the NBA championship. We correctly predicted Theresa May would not end the year as British prime minister; we incorrectly predicted that, by now, Brexit would have already happened.
And we were right when we said U.S. President Donald Trump would be impeached, yet would end 2019 still in office. We were wrong in expecting that his Senate trial would have already concluded by now.So what does this year have in store? The Globe and Mail editorial board’s crack team of odds-makers is once again ready to make book on the likelihood of various occurrences, or non-occurrences, in 2020. Place your bets.Odds that U.S.
Odds that the gap between WTI and Western Canada Select will be less than US$25 a barrel: 71 per cent Probability that the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion will be further delayed by an appeal before the Federal Court of Appeal: 19 per centIn 2021: 0 per centAt the 2016 Summer Olympics, Canada won 22 medals, good for 10th place in the medal count.
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