As some Southeastern US states start to reopen, Georgia is projected to see its number of daily Covid-19 deaths nearly double by early August, according to a model shared by the CDC and created by independent researcher Youyang Gu
As some Southeastern US states start to reopen, Georgia is projected to see its number of daily Covid-19 deaths nearly double by early August, according to a model shared by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and created by independent researcher Youyang Gu.
The epidemiological model, which provides projections for 40 countries and every US state, has been included among the seven models CDC highlights on its website for Covid-19 forecasting.Gu said Tuesday that his model is based on an epidemiological methodology called SEIS, which stands for susceptible, exposed, infectious, susceptible modeling.
As states reopen, small business owners weigh the risk 03:29On Friday, Kemp allowed for the reopening of hair and nail salons, barber shops, massage businesses and gyms under new safety standards. He allowed restaurants and theaters to reopen with new restrictions Monday.With the assumption of relaxed social distancing, the model predicts that the number of Covid-19 deaths per day in Georgia will jump from 32 people dying on May 1 to a projected 63 people dying per day by August 4.
First Covid-19 death was earlier than previously thought 03:12"There is that huge uncertainty that what will happen is very prone to be affected by policy decisions. If Georgia, for example, orders everyone to wear masks, that may significantly reduce infections, according to some recent studies," Gu said. He added that the model's projections show a spike for Georgia around June and July, which appears as if it could be a direct result of lifting lockdown measures.
• Tennessee: Deaths per day will decline from five on May 1 to one by August 4, with total deaths reaching 444 by August 4. • Virginia: Deaths per day will fall slightly from 22 on May 1 to 19 by August 4, with total deaths reaching 1,972 by August 4.• West Virginia: Deaths per day will remain somewhat steady, shifting from two on May 1 to three by August 4, with total deaths reaching 240 by August 4.All of the projections were made as of Tuesday morning and are subject to change.
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