Cyprus' beaches could disappear by 2100 due to climatechange frontiersin
). The results of our analysis indicate that the presence of hard structures may have a positive effect on beach stability. However, it is important to note that the effectiveness of these coastal protection structures cannot be definitively concluded due to the fact that beach nourishment projects are also commonly implemented in the most touristic beaches of the southern sector, where the majority of coastal works have been implemented.
In terms of beach erosion, even under a moderate emission scenario and as early as 2050, the one in 100-year extreme sea level event could completely overwhelm 49% of the 241 unprotected Cyprus beaches in the absence of effective technical responses. In 2100 impacts will be devastating, with 72% of beaches projected to be completely eroded under the business as usual scenario, with the most exposed beaches located along the western and northern coast.
The approach adopted in the present study can provide a framework for regional assessments of the beach erosion under climate change and produce vital information for the selection, design and timing of the requisite technical adaptation options. In this context, it may assist managers and policy makers at island settings to identify beaches under increased risk, estimate losses in beach carrying and hedonic value, and plan and prioritize effective adaptation responses.
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