From the shadows to the spotlight: Conservative surge shakes up B.C. politics

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From the shadows to the spotlight: Conservative surge shakes up B.C. politics
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B.C. Conservative supporters watch as results come in on election night in Vancouver on Oct. 19, 2024.

In 2020, the Conservative Party of B.C. had just 1.9 per cent of the popular vote and not a single elected candidate. Four years later, the party is the Official Opposition, with 44 elected MLAs provincewide.B.C. Conservative supporters watch as results come in on election night in Vancouver on Oct. 19. Regardless of the final election results in B.C., there's no denying it: a blue wave has washed over much of British Columbia for the first time in decades.

In 2020, the Conservative Party of B.C. had just 1.9 per cent of the popular vote and not a single elected candidate. Four years later, the party is the Official Opposition, with 44 elected MLAs provincewide — a feat that's been described as "striking" by one political analyst.Trevor Bolin, a longtime Fort St. John city councillor and former leader of the B.C. Conservatives, said the party hasn't seen support like this in decades.

Additionally, the B.C. United rebrand and ultimate demise at least got people paying attention to provincial politics, he said, and in many cases left some centre- and right-wing voters with little choice but to vote Conservative. "I think it was a little bit of everything," Bolin said. "I think it was perfect timing. I think it was also a lot of hard work."The Conservative Party's rise is striking, according to Justin Leifso, an assistant professor of political science at the University of Victoria. But, he said, it's not necessarily surprising.

He also said it's notable the party wasn't able to form government because incumbent governments are being challenged in other jurisdictions — in New Brunswick, the provincial Liberal party beat out the incumbent Progressive Conservatives in their recent election, and in Manitoba's provincial election last fall, the incumbent provincial Conservative party lost to the NDP.In 1903, the first Conservative Party premier was elected in B.C. About 13 years later, the B.C.

While Eby says the NDP will be looking at issues around health care and natural resources in order to serve those communities that didn't vote for his party, Bolin said the Conservatives need to look at why they haven't been able to secure the urban vote.

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