Fox News Polling Analysis Claims Massive Kamala Lead, Countering Other Polling

2024 Presidential Election News

Fox News Polling Analysis Claims Massive Kamala Lead, Countering Other Polling
Donald TrumpKamala HarrisPolling
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Fox attributes Harris's 6-point lead to a concept called “inefficient vote.”

Last week, Fox News released a poll that found former President Donald Trump up by 2 points nationally, 50% to 48%, a mirror image reversal of results from a September iteration of this poll. Lest any Trump supporters get too excited about this shift, an underreported finding in the latest poll shows Vice President Kamala Harris up by a whopping 6 points in the battleground states that will decide the election. The stated margin of error for this survey is 6.5%.

Harris’s latest swoon would be far less worrisome and easier to reverse if she had more time. But two weeks out from the election, it is a troubling development at best for her campaign.Well, Fox attributes Harris’s 6-point lead to a concept called “inefficient vote.” According to Fox, Trump is banking extra votes in counties where he doesn’t really need them. The article

The writers look to the relationship between the Republicans’ strength in the popular vote in the 2022 midterms to their lackluster gains in the House. In the 2022 House races, the GOP received over three million more votes than Democrats , but won back control of the chamber by only a slim margin . In state polling, the network’s record for accuracy was even worse. In 2020, Fox had an average error rate of 5.4% in state polls, which favored Democratic candidates 100% of the time.

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