The last time the men’s Final Four didn’t feature a team seeded No. 4 or lower was in 2009. mollyjgeary picks out this year’s dark-horse candidates
The last time the men’s Final Four was composed entirely of teams from the top-three seed lines was way back in 2009. While overall, 74% of Final Four teams since 1985 have been a No. 1, No. 2 or No. 3 seed, , that still means more than a quarter come from elsewhere. Figuring out who that’s going to be every year can be like finding a needle in a haystack—after all, who saw No. 11–seed UCLA coming a year ago? Or No. 11 Loyola Chicago in 2018? Still, we’re going to give it our best shot.
and nearly taking down Gonzaga. All the familiar names are back, including Johnny Juzang, Jaime Jaquez Jr. and Tyger Campbell. That kind of tournament experience is invaluable.lines up pretty well; it would be favored in any game until at least the Sweet 16, and Baylor could be the most vulnerable No. 1 seed given its injuries. No. 2 Kentucky might be the toughest obstacle in the region, and Myles Johnson and Cody Riley would have.
was 18th. Yet almost every predictive metric loves Kelvin Sampson’s team—even after it lost leading scorer Marcus Sasser and key guard Tramon Mark to season-ending injuries in mid-December. If those two were healthy, we’d likely be talking about this team as a title contender. Most analytics sites view it that way, anyway: Houston is No. 3 in the NET, No. 4 in KenPom and No. 2 in T-Rank and ESPN’s BPI. Those numbers typically suggest a No. 1 or No. 2 seed, but here are the Cougars, on the No.
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