While 17 teams have yet to qualify, a look at the procedure for the 2022 World Cup draw on April 1 gives a strong hint as to which nations will be the top seeds in Pot 1
One doesn’t need to wait until 2022 World Cup draw in order to start conjuring group of death scenarios, now that FIFA has confirmed its procedure for the April 1 event.
Although only 29 of the 32 teams participating in Qatar will be known at the time of the draw, the top seeds will all be sorted by then. FIFA confirmed Tuesday that along with host nation Qatar, the top seven teams in the men’s world rankings as of the March 31 edition will be drawn from Pot 1. The next eight nations in the rankings will be drawn into Pot 2, and so on.
The current top seven includes Belgium, Brazil, reigning world champion France, South American champion Argentina, England, European champion Italy and Spain. Among them, Italy is the only nation to not yet qualify, although it sits in the same qualifying playoff bracket as the next-ranked team: Portugal. In case neither qualifies, Denmark and the Netherlands are the next highest-ranked teams at ninth and 10th, respectively.
Barring an unexpected but massive shift in the final ranking before the draw, Germany is set to be in Pot 2. The potential for any of the Pot 1 teams to draw the 2014 champion creates an easily imaginable group-of-death scenario. With 13 teams, Europe is the only region that will serve as an exception to FIFA’s principle of separating teams from the same confederation, as five of the eight groups will have two European teams.
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