Federal Reserve Expected to Cut Interest Rates Amid Uncertainty

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Federal Reserve Expected to Cut Interest Rates Amid Uncertainty
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The Federal Reserve is poised to cut interest rates for the first time in over four years, but the size of the cut remains uncertain. While inflation has cooled, the Fed is also focusing on supporting a weakening job market.

WASHINGTON — Having all but tamed inflation, the Federal Reserve is poised to do something Wednesday it hasn’t done in more than four years: Cut its benchmark interest rate, a step that should lead to lower borrowing costs for consumers and businesses just weeks before the presidential election.

Over time, Fed rate cuts should lower borrowing costs for mortgages, auto loans and credit cards, as well as for business loans. Business spending could grow, and so could stock prices. Companies and consumers could refinance loans into lower-rate debt., that Fed officials feel confident that inflation has largely been defeated. It has plummeted from a peak of 9.1% in June 2022 to, not far above the Fed's 2% target.

At issue is how fast the Fed wants to lower interest rates to a point where they're no longer acting as a brake on the economy — nor as an accelerant. Where that so-called “neutral” level falls isn't clear, though many analysts peg it at 3% to 3.5%. Economists who favor a half-point reduction argue that the Fed's key rate is much higher than necessary now that inflation is in retreat.

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