Right now, as it was in 2005, a major concern is the large volume of warm water in the Gulf of Mexico, that can act a bit like fuel for a major hurricane.
Indeed, while the scale we use to classify hurricanes is based upon wind speeds, the level of destruction they bring to people and property often has more to do with the amount of water they displace on to areas of previously dry land.
And the rainfall forecast to usher Ida in and trail her out of the region after the winds have begun to subside could easily qualify as biblical. Total rainfall accumulations between 8 and 20 inches could impact parts of Louisiana and Mississippi between now and Monday. The trendlines are longer and the data more complicated, of course, but at the time the 2005 season broke all the big records and was the most active season ever seen. There was a while there, maybe even a full decade, where you could say that 2005 and the misery wrought by Katrina, Rita, Wilma and the others was simply an outlier of the type we should expect to come along every century or so.
August 30, 2017 in Houston, Texas. The city of Houston is still experiencing severe flooding in some areas due to the accumulation of historic levels of rainfall, though the storm has moved to the north and east. While 2021 is not currently expected to exceed last year’s overall activity, there is still plenty of the season left and we sit here on the eve of Katrina’s landfall anniversary contemplating the potential poetic tragedy of Ida.
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