India's weather office has forecast normal monsoon rainfall in 2023. However, a 90% likelihood of an El Nino weather pattern developing during the June-September monsoon season raises the possibility of less than normal rain.
weather pattern developing during the June-September monsoon season raises the possibility of less than normal rain.
In 2009, a weak El Nino led to a significant reduction in India's rainfall, plummeting to 78.2% of normal, the lowest recorded in 37 years. Conversely, in 1997, a strong El Nino occurred, yet India received 102% of its normal rainfall. Weather models are suggesting 2023 El Nino could be strong.The monsoon is vital for India, providing about 70% of annual rain and impacting key crops such as rice, wheat, sugarcane, soybeans, and peanuts.
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