You can’t predict the market … ever, writes Tom Bradley. Read on for more.
: No matter how confident and persuasive somebody is, don’t be fooled. They have no clue where the market will be in a month or a year. Asking is a waste of time and basing an investment strategy on the answer is lunacy.: “‘Past returns are not an indicator of future returns.” There’s a reason investment companies put this warning on their performance numbers. Going forward, markets will be different, as will the strategies that work best.
I think of something, the former chair of Tocqueville Asset Management LP, said when I hear someone say that: “I never invest in a situation in which I cannot lose money.” He explained: “Win-win situations simply do not exist in the investment world … if the buyer of an investment is guaranteed not to lose, the seller must be guaranteed not to win.”Article content: You’re kidding yourself if you think you have an edge over other investors because of something you read.
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