Difficult jobs market may spark radical, multiyear shift in Americans' spending habits: Barclays top economist (via TradingNation)
Michael Gapen, Barclays' head of US economics research, warns widespread job losses due to the coronavirus pandemic is radically changing Americans' spending habits.
, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The pullback was sparked by a demand collapse in connection with the virus fallout. "Consumers have cut back on a wide variety of non-essential spending," he noted. "They're really funneling all their purchases into necessary consumer staples." According to Gapen, normal spending patterns won't emerge until the jobs market materially improves and the virus threat disappears.In April, the unemployment rate surged to 14.7% in AprilIf there's no vaccine this year, Gapen's best case scenario is an unemployment rate that falls to 10.5% by December. It's a level that would still be too high to get consumers to loosen their purse strings again.
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