The Trump era created tons of possible new pickups for House Dems. But many of them will disappear during redistricting, leaving Democrats a narrow path to hold the House.
Of the 33 GOP incumbents who won in 2020 by 8 points or fewer — a generous margin for a House race — 15 represent states where Republicans have total control over redistricting, according to a POLITICO analysis.
But new district lines will ease their path to their reelections, at least for the next few elections. Meanwhile, South Carolina's 1st District, a Lowcountry seat that hosted two of the closest House contests in 2018 or 2020, can easily cede some of the growing Charleston suburbs to House Majority Whip Jim Clyburn and transform into something more GOP-friendly.
In Indiana, Hale said she had not been seriously considering a rematch because of the looming remap: "I really in my bones felt I would get drawn out of the district."
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