Democrats hold Senate majority in midterm elections stunner Analysis by DavidMDrucker:
Senate Republicans entered Election Day with Biden deeply unpopular in contested states as voters expressed anxiety about inflation, crime, and the direction of the country overall. But golden opportunities to capture the 50-50 Senate fizzled, as Democratic incumbents held on in key battlegrounds and Lt. Gov. John Fetterman defeated Dr. Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania, flipping the seat relinquished by retiring Sen. Pat Toomey .
The Republicans entered the 2022 election cycle needing to gain a single Senate seat to win a majority that Democrats enjoy courtesy of the tiebreaking vote wielded by Vice President Kamala Harris. Based on the map of seats up for election this year, Republican prospects were favorable. Democrats were on defense in a handful of swing states — Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and New Hampshire — while Republicans were on defense mostly in red states.
So, how did the Democrats pull it off? Republican strategists and data crunchers were still sifting through the wreckage to come up with answers. The Supreme Court’s ruling in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization that eliminated federal protections for abortion rights is another factor that Republicans, in retrospect, believe cost their Senate candidates at the ballot box. “It was abortion,” said a GOP strategist who advised a losing Senate candidate. “At a time when energy costs are through the roof, social issues win the day. Remarkable.
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