Democratic challengers lead incumbent GOP senators by significant margins in North Carolina and Montana, new polling shows

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Democratic challengers lead incumbent GOP senators by significant margins in North Carolina and Montana, new polling shows
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Democrats need to pick up four seats and maintain all their current seats in order to wrestle control of the Senate from Republicans in November.

The data from the Civiqs poll aligns with a survey conducted by Public Policy Polling in mid-April. Those results showed Cunningham leading North Carolina's Republican senator by 7 points, 47 percent to 40 percent. A previous poll conducted by PPP in mid-March showed Daines and his Democratic challenger neck-in-neck. Both of the Montana politicians were backed by 47 percent of voters in that survey.

While national attention is more heavily focused on the presidential election between President Donald Trump and presumptive Democratic nominee former Vice President Joe Biden, Democrats also aim to wrestle control of the Senate from Republicans. Most analysts expect Democrats to maintain their control of the House of Representatives, but the battle for the Senate is less certain.

With 100 seats in total, the Senate is currently comprised of 53 Republicans, 45 Democrats and two independents that caucus with their Democratic colleagues. In order to guarantee control of the upper chamber of Congress, Democrats would have to maintain all their current seats while flipping four GOP-controlled seats.

Democrats are hopeful that they can flip Arizona's Republican-controlled Senate seat. Most recent polling has shown Democratic challenger and retired astronaut Mark Kelly ahead of GOP Senator Martha McSally. A mid-March survey by Marist College showed Kelly ahead by 3 points, 48 percent to 45 percent, while a separate poll by Monmouth University showed the Democratic contender ahead by 6 points, 50 percent to 44 percent.

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