Covid-19 is spreading to America’s South with unnerving speed

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Covid-19 is spreading to America’s South with unnerving speed
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In mid-April, the New Orleans area had the highest per-person death rate from covid-19 of any American city

“Y’ALL...WE ARE NOT New York state.” Alabama’s governor, Kay Ivey, said that on March 26th, explaining why she was not locking her state down. At that time, she was right. The Empire State then had twice as many confirmed cases of coronavirus as all southern states combined . But the South is becoming more like New York.

As a result, the South is entering the most dangerous period in which numbers are large, growth is still high and health systems start to buckle. According to the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington, New York and New Jersey have passed the peak of hospital demand but Georgia and Texas will not hit theirs until early May. “The worst is yet to come,” fears Peter Hotez, of Baylor University in Waco, Texas.

The second reason for the South’s vulnerability is demography. The region contains disproportionate numbers of old, black, Hispanic, uninsured, unhealthy and incarcerated Americans. That is an almost complete litany of susceptibilities to covid-19. In Florida’s Sumter county, home to one of the largest residential complexes for the old , the median age is 67, care homes are suffering exponential growth in cases and the county’s death rate from covid-19 is a sky-high 10%.

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