Could Putin’s Aggression Actually Push China Closer to Biden?

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Could Putin’s Aggression Actually Push China Closer to Biden?
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When President Joe Biden and Chinese leader Xi Jinping talk on Friday for the first time since Russia invaded Ukraine, there should be clarity on where the two stand with each other

President Joe Biden doesn’t exactly need another autocrat feeling isolated and off-kilter. But that’s just where Chinese leader Xi Jinping may be right now, with Russia largely cut off from the rest of the world and China wondering if it could be the next international pariah.

Either way, there should be clarity. But the fact that there’s a question at all where China stands right now is a potentially positive sign. Although a total renaissance between the United States and China is unlikely, the Biden administration may soon find itself dealing with a version of Xi more at ease and willing to reassess partnerships—at a time when he’s doubting his own team’s ability to deliver sound judgment on foreign affairs.

On the Chinese side, there’s likely a lot of soul-searching going on right now, according to Holden Triplett, the former head of FBI in Beijing and a former White House National Security Council director. “That happened in like 10 days—so if you want to know how to lose your status in 10 days… do what Russia did,” he said.

Despite the “no limits” relationship between China and Russia, Xi has begun to call for “maximum restraint” in Ukraine, pushing for “peaceful outcomes.” “I just see no evidence that Xi is going to abandon anytime soon… despite what I'm sure is his frustration [with] Putin,” Gallagher said. “I just don't see any plea from America disabusing Xi [of] this notion that he wants to cooperate with Russia in order to undermine, ultimately destroy, the West such as it exists.”

”I wonder if Xi learned a lesson from that himself: that it didn’t pay necessarily to be too forward-thinking,” Kamphausen said.“We do have deep concerns about China's alignment with Russia at this time, and the National Security Adviser was direct about those concerns and the potential implications and consequences of certain actions,” a senior administration official said on a call this week, referring to Sullivan’s meeting with Yang.

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