Former President Donald Trump’s indictment may grab headlines today, but it will not change a simple fact: Regardless of whether Trump is the Republican nominee, America’s divisions mean the next Electoral College tally will be close, even if the popular vote is not.
Already, pundits and political analysts identify certain battleground states, those in which 5% of the vote or less will determine the victor. In 2016, the battlegrounds were Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. In 2020, Georgia became a battleground, while Colorado, Maine, and Minnesota lost their battleground status.
At issue is Sullivan’s request made to key senators to lift their hold on President Joe Biden’s desire to send F-16 fighters and avionics upgrades to Turkey as part of a quid pro quo in which Turkey would end its veto of Sweden’s NATO accession. The idea is unwise. It incentivizes Turkey’s blackmail. It could sacrifice regional security for the symbolism of Sweden’s membership.
In 2016, Trump won Wisconsin by 22,748 votes over Hillary Clinton. In 2020, turnout increased to more than 70%, but Biden won the state by only 20,682 votes. Put another way, the few thousand Greeks who live in and around Green Bay, Milwaukee, and Madison could be enough to sway an election.
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