Kemp is leading in polls even though Abrams has raised a lot more money than him.
conducted July 5-11 by the GOP firm Fabrizio, Lee & Associates and Democratic firm Impact Research showed Kemp leading Abrams by 7 points, 52 percent to 45 percent. Notably, those numbers came as in the true Toss Up Senate race, Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock led Republican former football great Herschel Walker, 50 percent to 47 percent.
It’s the over 50 percent number that is really the driving force for our ratings change. At this juncture, with an incumbent facing negative ads — and the GOP primary hits Kemp endured too — and still consistently pulling a majority of the vote in the most recent polling is noteworthy. Both Kemp and Abrams are virtually universally known in the state at this juncture. Plus, Kemp’s lead over Abrams has been remarkably steady.
Cygnal’s survey also showed that Kemp appears to be performing well with Hispanic voters, with the support of 60 percent of Hispanic women aged 50 and older, while 57 percent of Hispanic men aged between 35 and 64 support the governor. The poll also noted that African-Americans “are not a homogenous voter block for Abrams” and found that a quarter of African Americans aged under 35 supported Kemp, while around 10 percent of African American men over 35 also expressed support for him.
Cygnal’s figures showed that a majority of respondents had an unfavorable view of President Joe Biden, with 58 viewing the president unfavorably and just 40 percent having a favorable view of him.
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