Climate researchers say magnitude of predicted weather event uncertain but if an extreme El Niño occurs ‘we’ll need to buckle up’
that all seven models it had surveyed – including those from weather agencies in the UK, Japan and the US – showed sea surface temperatures passing the El Niño threshold by August.
Several of the forecasts suggest temperatures could get this high by October, but scientists again urged caution with the results. He said big El Niños tended to come along every 10 to 15 years and so it would be “very unusual” to see one so soon on the heels of the last major one in 2015 and 16.“The really big ones reverberate all over the planet with extreme droughts, floods, heatwaves, and storms. If it happens, we’ll need to buckle up. It could also fizzle out. We should be watchful and prepared either way.”
She said for Australia, the strength of an El Niño didn’t necessarily line up with the strength of the impacts. But she said: “During El Niño, you tend to see decreased rainfall across eastern Australia during winter and spring and we also see above-average daytime temperatures across the southern two-thirds of the country.”Studies have suggested that as global heating continues, the.
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