Climate change swells odds of record India, Pakistan heatwaves

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Climate change swells odds of record India, Pakistan heatwaves
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A UK study says record-breaking temperatures in NW India and Pakistan are now 100 times more likely.

The extreme pre-monsoon heatwave the region has suffered in recent weeks eased a little after peak temperatures reached 51C in Pakistan on Saturday.

It says maximum temperatures are likely to reach 50C in some spots, with continued very high overnight temperatures. "However, our study shows that climate change is driving the heat intensity of these spells making record-breaking temperatures 100 times more likely."The new study is based on the heatwave that gripped northwest India and Pakistan in April and May 2010 when the region experienced the highest combined April and May average temperature since 1900.

The scenarios are run through 14 different computer models and produce dozens of different simulations which are compared to work out how climate change has altered the probability of an event happening.

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