A succinct guide to what we know about climate change and tornadoes:
Person Y:"See they say every extreme event is caused by climate change, but the climate changes naturally and there were always extreme events.....blah blah blah"
It is important to point out that just because an event is low on the scale that doesn't mean there is no climate change influence. It simply means scientific evidence is not strong enough at this time to draw stronger conclusions.Level of understanding of attribution for specific eventsDr. Gensini has been studying storms for nearly a decade and has even developed techniques to predict seasonal activity.
No, climate change did not cause the recent rash of US tornadoes. Climate change does not cause any given extreme weather event. It does alter background probabilities of the PDF curve. Most of the literature has focused on severe convective storms in the aggregate sense due to the lack of a good discriminator among hazards using regional climate models....These studies suggest that severe weather environments and surrogate severe will increase in the spring and become more variable from year to year. This is not specific to any specific severe convective system.
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