China’s push into autonomous vehicles is barely out of first gear, with only a handful of cities allowing limited trials since last year.
The autonomous Lincoln MKZ started turning left at a Beijing intersection when a speeding truck made a move to pass in front of it. Sensors in the car detected the approach and instantly froze it in place.
“The U.S. is ahead right now,” said Bill Russo, chief executive of Shanghai-based consultancy Automobility Ltd. “But China will soon make significant strides, and I am fully confident that by 2030 it will be a different game.” China is so behind it ranks 20th of 25 countries in a KPMG index measuring their level of preparedness for autonomous vehicles. The Netherlands ranks first and the U.S. fourth.
Waymo only deploys robotaxis in one suburb of Phoenix, Uber Technologies Inc. has spent more than $1 billion without clear plans to launch a service, and Elon Musk recently said Tesla Inc.’s technology would lead to 1 million vehicles on the road that are fully capable of self-driving — a claim met with skepticism.
China’s permitting process is particularly cumbersome, said Neil Wu, a Shanghai-based partner at consultancy Roland Berger. Baidu, owner of China’s biggest search engine, had permits for Beijing, Chongqing, Pingtan, Changsha, Baoding and Tianjin in the fourth quarter of last year, according to BNEF.
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