Chiefs vs Chargers Picks & Predictions for Week 4: Bolts Defense Does Its Job

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Chiefs vs Chargers Picks & Predictions for Week 4: Bolts Defense Does Its Job
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Justin Herbert's status for Sunday is shaky, but the Chargers defense has what it takes to frustrate Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, so expect a nail-biter in L.A.

Justin Herbert's status for Sunday is shaky, but the Chargers defense has what it takes to frustrate Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, so expect a nail-biter in L.A.

And while the Chiefs tend to win endlessly, they don't really blow teams out. In their last nine regular season games, they have won by more than a touchdown just twice, and those games came against Jake Browning and Bailey Zappe. Even then, they won those games by just eight and 10 points, respectively.

Another easy place to get value is Mahomes' interception prop. He threw one in 12 of 16 games last year and has thrown one in each of his first three games this year. On top of that, his market is much lower than usual this week at -120 compared to the -140 it was last week.The Chargers have started 1-0 ATS at home this year after going 3-5 last year.

After years of casual betting, he took an interest in the numbers-based approach and specialized in learning and applying those techniques to niche markets such as player props, the NFL and NBA drafts, and F1. Shawn finds writing a good way to balance the time he spends on numbers, giving him an outlet to paint quantitative edges into qualitative narratives.

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