THR's awards columnist previews Saturday's closing ceremony.
It’s hard to game out Cannes juries, as they spread their prizes around as much as possible. So if, say, Dhont and Park’s films are awarded the best film prizes, then that takes their filmmakers out of the running for best director.
One can try to psychoanalyze this year’s jurors to figure out what/who they would most likely connect with — for instance, one could argue that Farhadi has made films that pose moral questions likeand others from the Dardennes ; Trier’s work tends to be a bit eccentric like Ostlund’s; and Nichols has made films about young people coming of age, not unlike Gray’s. But there is, of course, no guarantee that filmmakers will vote for films that are like their own.
Another consideration: are jurors swayed when filmmakers contextualize their films in remarks inside the Palais after their film’s premiere? If so,If we were talking about the Oscars, there would be a greater likelihood of the best director prize going to someone as a sort of recognition of career achievement — perhaps, but only won something once and would seem ripe for recognition; or 84-year-old Skolimowski, who has now had eight films at the fest over 50 years with only a special jury prize...
But Cannes juries tend not to operate that way, opting instead to reward people in the prime of their career for deeply personal passion projects, which is why I wouldn’t rule out
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