Canadian hiring surges in January, forcing rethink of interest rates

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Canadian hiring surges in January, forcing rethink of interest rates
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Canadian hiring surges in January, putting pressure on Bank of Canada

Market expectations are constantly changing, and these views of future interest rates could be wrong. However, the shift is a sign that investors think interest rates will need to remain at elevated levels for longer to subdue inflation, given the underlying strength in the economy.

Friday’s report showed strength in various parts of the labour market. Jobs with full-time hours increased by 121,000 in January, while the private sector drove a gain of 115,000 positions. Canada’s population is growing quickly, which is helping to expand the supply of labour. However, the labour force is growing at a quicker pace than the population, indicating that many people are being coaxed into jobs. For example, Statscan noted that mothers of young children have had a big increase in their employment rate over the past year.

By now, many economists projected that Canada would be mired in the early stages of a mild recession. The Bank of Canada said that growth would stall over the first half of 2023. Instead, Friday’s report suggests the economy is continuing to chug along with positive growth, at least for now.

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