Canadian Consumers Face Price Hikes as US-Canada Trade Tensions Rise

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Canadian Consumers Face Price Hikes as US-Canada Trade Tensions Rise
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A potential 25% US tariff on Canadian imports could lead to significant price increases for Canadian consumers, particularly in gasoline and perishable foods. The impact would be felt quickly in provinces like Ontario and Quebec, which heavily rely on US-imported refined oil. Other goods like cars and manufactured food products might see price increases in the short to medium term. However, some food items, like seafood, could become cheaper due to reduced US demand.

In provinces such as Ontario and Quebec, Canadians could see prices at the pump jump quickly because a large chunk of our refined oil, especially on the East Coast, is imported from the U.S.The cost of lettuce and other perishable foods, and gasoline prices in some provinces, would be the first costs to spike for Canadian consumers if and when U.S. President Donald Trump slaps a 25-per-cent tariff on imports from Canada , and if Ottawa and the provinces retaliate.

“The cost of refining Canadian crude oil is going up in the United States and those costs are going to get passed back on to Canadian consumers as we reimport that refined oil back from the United States,” he said. In provinces such as Alberta, where a significant amount of oil processing is done within the province, fuel prices might go down for consumers there if less is exported to the U.S.

In general, whether price increases would be sudden depends on retailer inventory, said Jaccard Torsten, a Vancouver School of Economics professor. Alex Greco senior director, manufacturing and value chains, at the Canadian Chamber of Commerce said consumers might pay $8,000 to $10,000 more for a new car within weeks – if not sooner – after promised tariffs are implemented, though a lot of unknowns remain.

Prof. Vercammen said these sorts of price reductions would likely happen within a few weeks and the size of the drop would depend on how quickly Canadian companies can pivot to overseas markets.

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