A new report says positive gains for U.S. and Canadian economies as well as financial markets are expected to continue in 2025 despite uncertainty around U.S. policy.
was authored by the Edward Jones investment strategy team, which included some key views for 2025 and suggestions for positioning portfolios. The authors said that while the positive momentum from 2024 is poised to continue, economic growth and markets “may cool.” Two of the major themes included a soft landing for Canada and the U.S. as well as a continuation of the bull market, now headed into its third year.
“We expect conditions for Canadian and U.S. households to improve somewhat in the year ahead as the central banks continue to cut rates and inflation continues to moderate and remain contained,” the report said. “These may be offset by uncertainty around tariffs and trade wars, but we see this risk contained more to specific industries and global peers. It should not outweigh the broader pro-growth impulses we may see by year-end 2025,” the report said.According to the report, U.S. large-cap stocks delivered a second consecutive year of gains over 20 per cent last year, marking the first time since 1998. Meanwhile the S&P/TSX Composite Index posted its strongest year since 2009.
“We expect TSX earnings to accelerate to 10 per cent and S&P 500 profits to grow 10 per cent–15 per cent, with the low end of the range as our base case expectation and the high end as a possibility if policies like corporate tax cuts are delivered,” the report said.Three main strategies were outlined in the report for investors to position their portfolios this year.
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