Canada's Trans Mountain pipe expansion to disrupt oil flow to US, boost prices

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Canada's Trans Mountain pipe expansion to disrupt oil flow to US, boost prices
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Canada's Trans Mountain oil pipeline expansion (TMX), which will nearly triple the flow of crude from Alberta to Canada's Pacific Coast beginning early next year, will shake up North America's supply by diverting barrels now mainly delivered to refiners and exporters in the U.S. Midwest and Gulf Coast. Its startup could add as much as $2 per barrel to prices paid by U.S. Midwest oil refineries that sit along Canada's existing main oil-export route. 'They will be competing for barrels that no longer transit through their region,' said a Calgary-based oil trader.

FILE PHOTO: A pipe yard servicing government-owned oil pipeline operator Trans Mountain is seen in KamloopsCALGARY - Canada's Trans Mountain oil pipeline expansion , which will nearly triple the flow of crude from Alberta to Canada's Pacific Coast beginning early next year, will shake up North America's supply by diverting barrels now mainly delivered to refiners and exporters in the U.S. Midwest and Gulf Coast.

The long-delayed and controversial Canadian government-owned C$30.9 billion TMX project is set to begin shipping crude early next year, although it could face up to nine months delay due to a last-minute proposed route change. Last December, a spill on TC Energy's 622,000 bpd Keystone pipeline drove the Canadian heavy crude discount to U.S. oil to more than $33 a barrel, more than double its typical discount.Having more Canadian export pipeline capacity means crude bottlenecks building up in the Alberta storage hub Hardisty should happen less often, reducing volatility and keeping prices steadier.

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