A recent poll showed an improving view of Chilean democracy and crime displacing pensions as the top public concern
At the heart of the protests was anger over narrowing opportunities and inadequate and unequal access to health care, pensions and education. The convention was offered by a discredited political class in November 2019 to provide a peaceful path out of a dangerous conflict. It seems certain to move Chile to the left. The question is how far.
Now that the convention has sat for almost three of its allotted maximum of 12 months, and has accomplished little beyond approving its own rules this week, it is starting to moderate. One far-left group has imploded, its credibility destroyed when one of its leaders admitted that his claim to be a cancer-sufferer denied proper health care was false. Another has split: the Broad Front has fallen out with the Communist Party. One poll shows approval of the convention falling to 30%.
The presidential election may give a clearer sense of Chile’s change of course. The front-runner is Gabriel Boric, a 35-year-oldleader. He defeated a Communist in a primary. His economic programme is radical. But it seeks to turn Chile into something more like Germany than Venezuela, with European levels of tax and green investment, state companies and industrial policy. Whether this could work quickly in Chile is doubtful.
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