California flash flood risk as tropical storm Hilary approaches

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California flash flood risk as tropical storm Hilary approaches
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Southern California could be hit with the first tropical storm to make landfall since 1997 later this week, as Storm Hilary creeps up the Mexican coast.

California is facing heavy rains of up to two inches on Sunday and the potential for isolated flooding early next week as Tropical Storm Hilary bears down on the West Coast, forecasters have said.

The storm, which is currently strengthening off the coast of Mexico, is expected to make its way north-westerly along Baja California before reaching San Diego and Los Angeles on Monday. On Wednesday evening, the National Weather Service said"probability of a very anomalous rain event is certainly increasing."

Hilary is expected to produce hurricane-force winds of up to 74 miles per hour over the next five days, and it remains unclear if it will transition from a cyclone into a less powerful storm by the time it makes landfall in California. No tropical storm has made landfall in the state with hurricane-force winds in recorded history, while only a handful of tropical storms have reached the West Coast in any capacity. The most recent, Hurricane Nora, brought winds of up to 130 miles an hour in 1997.

People see the effects of strong wind at sea in Acapulco, Guerrero State, Mexico, on August 16, 2023, following the passage of Tropical Storm Hilary. The storm is expected to reach southern California by the end of the week."There remains a very large spread in the ultimate track [of the storm] so this remains a very low confidence forecast in terms of the track as well as the impacts," the NWS cautioned, but added that almost all models showed"moderate to heavy rain amounts.

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