Brett Girard's Market Outlook and Top Stock Picks

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Brett Girard's Market Outlook and Top Stock Picks
INVESTMENTMARKET OUTLOOKSTOCK PICKS
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Liberty International Investment Management's Chief Financial Officer and Portfolio Manager, Brett Girard, shares his insights on the global market outlook, identifying key trends and opportunities. He delves into domestic, U.S., and European markets, offering perspectives on trade dynamics, economic indicators, and investment strategies.

Brett Girard, chief financial officer and portfolio manager at Liberty International Investment Management, provides his insights on the current market landscape. He begins by examining domestic markets, where government officials are engaged in preparations for impending tariffs. Girard highlights an interesting trade dynamic: the US$45 billion trade deficit between the U.S. and Canada reverses to a US$45 billion American trade surplus when energy-related goods flowing from Canada to the U.S.

are excluded. Despite a relatively high unemployment rate of 6.7%, Girard observes signs of stabilization. Looking ahead, he emphasizes the need for clarity regarding immigration policies, tax codes, and a renewed sense of confidence in Canada's strengths, including its world-class companies and skilled workforce.Girard then shifts his focus to the U.S. market, where deregulation and tariffs dominate the news cycle. He acknowledges the uncertainty surrounding the long-term consequences of recent executive actions on key economic indicators such as GDP growth, inflation, interest rates, and the U.S. dollar's strength.Across the Atlantic, Girard points to France and Germany as the strongest performing European markets year-to-date, rebounding from historically oversold levels reached in the previous year. While Europe continues to grapple with political and economic challenges, Girard notes that it remains relatively undervalued compared to the U.S., even after considering historical country premiums and discounts. He advises investors to adopt a disciplined approach during this period of heightened uncertainty, focusing on monitoring asset allocation, managing concentration risk, and resisting impulsive reactions to trade developments. He cautions against overweighting any specific sector, geography, or theme due to the current lack of visibility.Girard concludes by sharing his top stock picks: Thermo Fisher Scientific, A O Smith, and Halma PLC. He explains his rationale for each selection, highlighting their respective financial performance, growth prospects, and market positions. He emphasizes the importance of fundamental analysis and due diligence in navigating volatile market conditions

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