A toxic political mood, the end of austerity, the growing problem of Boris Johnson's personal scandals, and everything else we learned in Manchester.
The danger is twofold: Johnson's personal scandals could play badly with swing voters, although there seems to be little evidence of that so far. A snap YouGov poll conducted after the conference put the Conservatives on 34%, up 1 point on the previous week, indicating voters have largely made up their minds about Johnson, whose tumultuous private life has been a regular feature of British newspapers for more than two decades.
This explains why his government has pledged to abandon the mantra of austerity which has governed the Conservative party's approach to public finances since 2010, and which has seen big cuts made to the budgets of police forces, NHS trusts, and local councils. The price of Johnson's commitment to delivering Brexit at any cost is that the Conservatives will almost certainly lose seats to the Lib Dems and Labour in Remain-voting areas. They are also likely to lose most of their seats in Scotland, where outgoing leader Ruth Davidson was credited with much of the party's success in winning 13 seats.
And a fringe meeting of the Bruges Group, a pro-Brexit think tank, members of the audience booed and shouted "Shame on you!" after Daily Mirror political editor Pippa Crerar asked two Conservative MPs on the panel whether they thought Johnson's "invocation" of the memory of Jo Cox was "wise" or "cunning."
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