President Biden's aides and advisers say the outcome of Election Day — whatever it is — will not be a factor in his decision on whether to seek a second term in the White House.
Nov. 8, 2022, 4:34 PM UTCBOWIE, Md. — On midterm election night, Joe Biden called to congratulate the victors he had campaigned for and was greeted with appreciation — and in some cases encouragement to mount a presidential bid against Donald Trump.Democrats seem to be preparing themselves not for whether Tuesday night is going to be bad for them, but rather how bad.
And the calculation is different for a popular former vice president then for an unpopular officeholder.“The key differential between 2018 and 2022 is that in 2018 Joe Biden was not president,” the former official said. “You have an incumbent with a really good track record, and you’ll have Donald Trump [running],” said Jim Messina, who ran Obama’s re-election campaign in 2012. “The incumbent has already beaten Donald Trump.”
While Biden allies point to the historical trends against a first-term president’s party, there’s at least one key difference: Clinton and Obama were in their late 40s when they took a midterm shellacking, while Biden is set to turn 80 this month. In 2020, he hinted about being a “bridge” to a new generation of Democrats, but in recent months has repeatedly said he “intends” to seek another term.
“But people are feeling the pain of inflation that is a force all over the world, and the right combination of words cannot make that evaporate,” the adviser added. “The question that we face heading into 2024 is the same question we faced in the last several years, which is who can beat Donald Trump,” said Ben LaBolt, who was national press secretary for Obama’s 2012 re-election campaign. “When Donald Trump reappears on the campaign trail, goosebumps are going to go up across the country among Democrats and persuadable voters.
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