Below-normal 2023 hurricane season? KPRC2Frank reports - KPRC2 hurricaneseason
Believe it or not, 2023 hurricane forecasts actually showed up last month and a group out of England, Tropical Storm Risk, issued theirs on Dec. 9, calling for a “below-normal” hurricane season. TSR has been in the forecasting business since the early 1990s and most recently is headed upThey base this on, as they admit, very preliminary data and conjecture, largely centered around La Nina and El Niño.
Following the La Nina years of 1998-2000, the 2001 season totaled 15 storms, nine hurricanes and four major . So while 2001 may have been near average, it was a bit above and included Tropical Storm Allison! I find the comparison to past years a bit thin as a real predictor , but the waning La Nina and weak El Nino that is forecast probably holds some salt. You can see from this graphic the cool waters in the Pacific are in full force:There is little probability we will continue with a La Nina for a fourth year and the models take us to a weak El Niño by late summer.
Tropical Storm Risk last season’s early forecast was for 18-eight-three in 2022 and we wound up with 14-eight-two, so for hurricanes themselves they were right on target. This year’s early forecast for 2023 is 13-six-three against the average of 14 storms-seven hurricanes-three major.
Canada Latest News, Canada Headlines
Similar News:You can also read news stories similar to this one that we have collected from other news sources.
MG ZS Review 2023The MG ZS is not just cheaper than most of its SUV rivals, it’s also cheaper than a number of hatchback equivalents. So what do you get for your money? Read our full review to find out:
Read more »
Nostalgia Will Impact 2023 Tattoo Trends In a Big WayHere are the nine tattoo designs and styles you'll be seeing all over social media in 2023 and beyond — if you haven't already.
Read more »
Soccer’s resolutions for 2023: Debating what’s best for USMNT, USWNT and the UnionWhat will 2023 hold for the top soccer teams in the U.S.A? Will the U.S. women's national team be holding another World Cup trophy? The Inquirer's soccer writers debate.
Read more »
Five NFL Teams That Could Draft Alabama QB Bryce YoungBryce Young declared for the NFL draft on Monday, and one of these teams could select the 2021 Heisman winner
Read more »
23 astronomical events to look out for in 2023Stacker compiled a list of 23 astronomical events to observe in 2023 using a variety of news and scientific sources.
Read more »