As Israel and Hezbollah inch toward war, Canada braces for a repeat of the 2006 evacuation

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As Israel and Hezbollah inch toward war, Canada braces for a repeat of the 2006 evacuation
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An Israeli flag flutters next to a fire burning in an area near the border with Lebanon in Safed, northern Israel on Wednesday, June 12, 2024.

The federal government may have to make plans to repeat its largest-ever mass evacuation as the risk of an all-out war between Israel and Hezbollah continues to increase. Foreign Minister Mélanie Joly had a stark warning Tuesday for Canadian citizens in Lebanon.

Three naval ships participated in the operation. Even the prime minister's jet was roped into service. Canada doesn't have many resources in the area right now. The frigate HMCS Charlottetown entered the Mediterranean Tuesday morning, steaming through the Strait of Gibraltar on its way to join NATO's Maritime Group 2.

Homes, fields and forests have burned in the farming communities that dot the hilly landscape. Close to 500 people have died, mostly in Lebanon. The 2006 war began when a Hezbollah raiding party crossed the border to capture soldiers the group could trade for its own people in Israeli prisons. The interview Nasrallah gave in August 2006, shortly after the 34-day war ended, reveals how miscalculations about the other side's intentions and reactions can lead to war. It also suggests that Nasrallah felt compelled to explain his actions, in light of the death and destruction the war brought to his own community.

Israeli strategists were also unhappy with the inconclusive way the 2006 war ended. Although Israel had total superiority in the skies, it received unwelcome surprises on other fronts. Finally, when Israel launched its ground invasion across Lebanon's hilly southern border, its tanks were met with a storm of Kornet anti-tank guided missiles, and the incursion fizzled before the IDF could penetrate any distance into the country.And yet, Israel knew that its infrastructure bombing campaign had hurt Hezbollah and caused many Lebanese — particularly non-Shia Lebanese — to question the group's approach.

Shaul Goldstein, CEO of Israel's national electrical grid management company, had to apologize last week for what he called "irresponsible" comments in which he suggested that few people in Israel understood how vulnerable the country is to Hezbollah's missiles.Israelis displaced by fighting with Hezbollah want to go home as conflict edges closer to full-scale war

Although Goldstein walked those remarks back in response to politicians' outrage, the assessment of the Ministry of Defense's own National Emergency Management Authority wasHezbollah propaganda has sought to play on those vulnerabilities, posting video that it claimed was taken by a drone that penetrated some of Israel's most sensitive sites, such as its naval base at Haifa, and returned to Lebanon with the images.

Prior to October 7, 2023, Hamas was thought to possess some smuggled Grad 122mm rockets and perhaps dozens of homemade R-160 rockets, which can theoretically travel over 150 kilometres but have no guidance systems.

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