As flood risk looms, inside the scientific guesswork that keeps Utah water managers up at night

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As flood risk looms, inside the scientific guesswork that keeps Utah water managers up at night
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Weber Basin Water Conservancy District is now releasing 1,500 cu ft/second of water out of Pineview Reservoir, which can safely send out about 1,600 cu ft/second into the Ogden River. We are “really pushing the limits,' general manager Scott Paxman said.

Water managers also pay attention to soil moisture, or how much the soil is saturated with water. The higher the soil moisture, the less snowmelt it absorbs and the more water makes its way down to reservoirs. This year, according to a March report from the Department of Natural Resources, soil moisture is at 56% — about 4% more than normal for that time of year.

“We don’t have control over what the weather is going to do, and so we’re constantly making adjustments in terms of how much space we feel like we need to have for flood control in the reservoir,” she said. They ask questions like, “How much should we be releasing at any one time? What’s happening downstream from those releases that we need to be aware of?”

He said Echo Reservoir will have similar release levels, but their safe channel capacity is higher, around 2,250If spring runoff pushes water through the system beyond that safe channel capacity, Paxman said water managers can’t close the release valves to stop the flow. If they did, the reservoirs would overflow, and they would lose what control they have over the flows.

Water management in the southwest part of the state looks a little different, because they have fewer diversion options, said Karry Rathje, spokesperson for the Washington County Water Conservancy District.

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