Are you a great investor, or are strong markets keeping your boat afloat?

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Are you a great investor, or are strong markets keeping your boat afloat?
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Enjoy the sense of satisfaction but beware the risks of overconfidence before stocks turn down

Our biggest stock market risk right now is the cockiness of the high-flying investor. Stocks have delivered fantastic returns this year, and over the past five years as a whole. Even laggards like utility and pipeline stocks have joined in the fun.

A: I’ve been a finance professor at the Ivey Business School for almost 38 years. My research has been in capital markets including stocks and bonds. My new book grew in part out of research for my previous book , Q: You say in the book that investors don’t act rationally. Can you give us a few examples of irrational investor behaviour that you see happing now?

Third, we have a bias to action when sometimes it better to do nothing. Knowing when not to act, such as avoiding panic selling when markets decline, is known as masterly inactivity. As Vanguard founder Jack Bogle once said, “When you hear news that moves the market and your broker calls up and says, ‘Do something,’ just tell him my rule is ‘Don’t do something, just stand there!’”

Q: Social media has changed the investing ecosystem dramatically by bringing us new ‘influencers,’ some of whom are selling their own systems for investing or, worse, trying to defraud people. What’s your take on how social media affects investing? A: Slim to none. The one constant through investing history is scammers. Like Bernie Madoff, the biggest Ponzi Scheme fraudster, they know how to play on your emotions. Always remember: If something sounds too good to be true, it probably is!

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