Ben Dowsett breaks down the Utah Jazz's 2019-20 schedule following the league's release on Monday afternoon, featuring their travel load, expected opponent strength and national TV exposure compared to last season.
that this kind of rest advantage offers a sizable swing in win probability in the NBA. Just three teams have more positive true rest advantage games than Utah’s 12, and just six have fewer negative rest advantage contests on the slate.As you can see, the Jazz will travel more miles than any other NBA team this season. They’ll fly almost 10,000 more miles than they did last regular season, when eight teams traveled further than they did.
So should Jazz fans be miffed, excited or somewhere in between? Likely the latter, but leaning toward excited. For one, the softer opening slate from a load standpoint should make a real difference with a team incorporating a few new primary pieces into the system. For another, most NBA folks will tell you that back-to-backs are really the toughest schedule element to face – the Jazz are low on those, and come out on the positive end of the rest advantage math as well.
Getting a bit more granular, Dubin also laid out expected strength of schedule by month and by pre- or post-All-Star game: So while Utah’s load may not be as significant during the early part of the year, their opponent slate is still very difficult. The October/November combo is their toughest outside February, where they only play 11 games. But things are pretty manageable during most of the other parts of the year, particularly during January and March, months that are coincidentally their toughest from a travel standpoint – Jazz fans will surely hope these areas offset somewhat.
Now, remember this is only an estimation. As we well know, many of these teams will look very different a few months from now, and especially by 2020.Finally, how did the Jazz shake out for national games? Quite well, as it turns out. After playing 17 games on ESPN, TNT or NBATV last year, they’re up to 25 this year, almost a 50 percent increase. They’ll play 10 on ESPN, nine on NBATV and six on TNT, ranking them 10It’s hard to complain about much here from a Utah perspective.
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