Analysis-Weight-loss drug forecasts jump to $150 billion as supply grows

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Analysis-Weight-loss drug forecasts jump to $150 billion as supply grows
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- As millions seek access to weight-loss drugs from Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly, increasing supplies, possible wider usage and a growing number of would-be rivals are leading some experts to raise annual global sales forecasts for the treatments to about $150 billion by the early 2030s.

Without insurance coverage expansion, IQVIA put the low end of global obesity-drug spending at $39 billion in 2028 versus a more likely $74 billion. Supplies of both Novo's Wegovy and Lilly's Zepbound remain constrained, but the companies have been increasing production.BMO Capital Markets now estimates annual weight-loss drug sales reaching $150 billion by 2033, up from a year-ago forecast of over $100 billion by the early 2030s.

Rivals see room for treatments that are more convenient, offer better weight loss or promise additional health benefits. Some seek to improve durability or quality of weight loss by distinguishing between fat and lean body mass.Over 80 experimental obesity drugs have reached the human testing stage, according to IQVIA.

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