Analysis: Multiple polls show Robert F. Kennedy Jr. pulling double-digit support in the primary, including a Fox News survey that showed him at 19 percent, leading Republicans to hope he’ll damage Biden. It’s probably worth not overselling the early polls.
How much might the candidacy actually undercut Biden? It’s probably worth not overselling the early polls, for a few reasons.
. No incumbent president in the past 50 years has ceded that much of the vote to a primary challenger and won reelection, it noted.The first point is that we’re talking about a small sample size. There have been only three such instances, all more than 30 years ago: Ronald Reagan’s 1976 challenge to Gerald Ford, Ted Kennedy’s 1980 challenge to Jimmy Carter, and Pat Buchanan’s 1992 challenge to George H.W. Bush.
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