Analysis: Could Democrats actually win this do-over congressional race in North Carolina?
North Carolina state Sen. Dan Bishop , left, and business executive Dan McCready will face off in September’s special election for the 9th Congressional District.
And it’s going to be a fight. Nonpartisan congressional analysts rate this seat as a toss-up even though the district voted for Trump by 11 points in 2016. But the planets need to align just right for Democrats to win here for the first time in decades, said Michael Bitzer, a North Carolina political expert and author of Old North State Politics blog.
Generate enthusiasm — and then some: The blue wave in last year’s midterm elections helped 2018 Democratic nominee McCready, a Marine veteran, get within 900 votes of winning this suburban and rural district stretching along the South Carolina border from Charlotte. But it wasn’t close enough for him to actually win.
“It is an anchor that will sink him,” Howard predicted. “It had already taken out a Republican governor in this state, and people here in this state are really embarrassed by the image it projected of North Carolina.”
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