Analysis-China's economic gloom hangs over Japan's long-awaited recovery

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Analysis-China's economic gloom hangs over Japan's long-awaited recovery
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By Tetsushi Kajimoto and Leika Kihara TOKYO (Reuters) - Policymakers in Tokyo believe China's deepening economic woes could hit Japan's fragile ...

STORY CONTINUES BELOW THESE SALTWIRE VIDEOSTOKYO - Policymakers in Tokyo believe China's deepening economic woes could hit Japan's fragile recovery, especially if Beijing fails to shore up demand with meaningful stimulus, potentially delaying an exit from ultra-loose monetary policy.

"A downturn in China may diminish the chance of Japan achieving sustained wage growth," which is a crucial condition for phasing out monetary stimulus, another source said. China is Japan's largest trading partner, accounting for 20% of its exports, having replaced the United States in 2020. Exports to China fell 8.6% in the first half of this year as demand for cars, steel and electronics wilted.

Ogawa said going forward Komatsu will"cut down on production capacity in a way to match actual demand in China."Suntory Holdings chief executive Takeshi Niinami warned China's economy is in an"extremely difficult" situation, which may be contributing to a rising backlash against Japan over the release of treated Fukushima water into the ocean.

Japan's core inflation hit 3.1% in July, exceeding the BOJ's 2% target for the 16th straight month. Firms also promised wage hikes unseen in three decades this year, heightening the case for a retreat from decades of ultra-loose monetary policy.

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Analysis-China's economic gloom hangs over Japan's long-awaited recoveryAnalysis-China's economic gloom hangs over Japan's long-awaited recoveryPolicymakers in Tokyo believe China's deepening economic woes could hit Japan's fragile recovery, especially if Beijing fails to shore up demand with meaningful stimulus, potentially delaying an exit from ultra-loose monetary policy. China's downturn would leave Japan's export-reliant economy with little external support as aggressive Federal Reserve interest rate hikes cool growth in the United States, another key driver of global activity. The risks from China will be among key topics of debate at the Bank of Japan's September policy meeting, say five sources familiar with the bank's thinking, and raise fresh questions about Governor Kazuo Ueda's efforts to wean the economy off the massive monetary stimulus of the past decade.
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