Analysis: As voters are making up their minds, Republicans are benefitting
that affect the results.) That said, the CNN poll also captures shifts among women and White voters that benefit the GOP, as we’ll see.What stands out first is probably those numbers for independents. In the poll released in early October, only about three-quarters of respondents picked a Democrat or Republican on the generic ballot. Now more than 90 percent do. Members of both parties are about where they were in the previous poll.
Men preferred the GOP by double digits in both the previous and current poll, and women preferred the Democrat in both. In the poll released last month, though, a higher percentage of women declined to pick between the two parties. Now a larger percentage did — and Republicans saw more improvement. A similar pattern is shown with voters who have college degrees, another group that overlaps with suburban White women.
Again, the margins of error here are large. And the difference between a three-point advantage and a three-point deficit is, in polling terms, unimportant.
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