After Rich Strike, Derby long shots could get 2nd look -
Country House’s stunning elevation in 2019 from Derby runner-up to winner stood out initially because of the unprecedented circumstance in which stewards disqualified Maximum Security for interference after he crossed the line first. An eye-popping payout of $132.40 followed for the 59-1 long shot, which ranked as the second-highest payout until Rich Strike came out of nowhere last May to overtake favorite Epicenter in the stretch and post the dramatic upset.
“If I’m handicapping the Derby, I always look first and foremost for a horse that can get the distance because three-quarters of the field won’t. And if you can single out the one that will, then you’ve got a horse that’s going to run in the top five or six.” While wide-ranging odds are common in most races, horsemen and handicappers note the gaps in Derby horses don’t necessarily reflect quality. The qualifying process begins in the fall with points awarded to the top four in selected graded stakes races, increasing in value in early spring championship races that largely determine the field and presumed favorites.
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